Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.140458 0.159715 0.181065 0.206564 0.236284 0.269940 0.311097
2025-12-28 0.110791 0.136649 0.168140 0.209641 0.263375 0.331253 0.424532
2026-01-04 0.093024 0.121659 0.159002 0.211963 0.286267 0.388506 0.542829
2026-01-11 0.081145 0.111147 0.152464 0.214654 0.307882 0.445730 0.671324
2026-01-18 0.073152 0.104212 0.149030 0.220065 0.332959 0.511011 0.824775
2026-01-25 0.065759 0.096848 0.143523 0.220874 0.350246 0.566313 0.973404
2026-02-01 0.059554 0.090313 0.138147 0.220643 0.365154 0.619533 1.129692
2026-02-08 0.054015 0.084061 0.132268 0.218440 0.375865 0.666689 1.284947
2026-02-15 0.049231 0.078428 0.126621 0.215641 0.384705 0.711473 1.445659
2026-02-22 0.046423 0.075719 0.125487 0.220547 0.408464 0.789207 1.696285
2026-03-01 0.042698 0.071035 0.120351 0.217269 0.415548 0.834028 1.883657
2026-03-08 0.039942 0.067754 0.117326 0.217539 0.429735 0.896488 2.130645
2026-03-15 0.037308 0.064486 0.114065 0.217104 0.442812 0.960156 2.402985
2026-03-22 0.035596 0.062746 0.113491 0.222079 0.468692 1.059549 2.806089
2026-03-29 0.033792 0.060651 0.111993 0.224883 0.490107 1.152817 3.224524
2026-04-05 0.032171 0.058748 0.110655 0.227824 0.512339 1.253248 3.702457
2026-04-12 0.030976 0.057557 0.110617 0.233631 0.542637 1.382562 4.327167
2026-04-19 0.029416 0.055495 0.108554 0.234500 0.560535 1.481484 4.887497
2026-04-26 0.027894 0.053376 0.106155 0.234253 0.575481 1.575543 5.471441
2026-05-03 0.026327 0.051033 0.103049 0.231894 0.584308 1.653272 6.027036
2026-05-10 0.024843 0.048744 0.099844 0.228895 0.590877 1.725730 6.596079
2026-05-17 0.024086 0.047945 0.099894 0.234150 0.622313 1.888968 7.653354
2026-05-24 0.022766 0.045819 0.096722 0.230639 0.627035 1.961778 8.325553